Talk:Dust devil/Charm log

[ This edit]
Ignoring the central problem with using original research—there is no way to verify anything people submit—there are a few reasons why the data submitted in the above edit should be restored. Below, I've posted the percent differences between the average and the data submitted by the user.

None of the percent differences above are alarming, considering the charm drop rates are based on chance. The charm rates are different from person to person, and for this user, the charm drop rates were a little more different than average. That does not mean that the data is somehow bad because of this. Take, for example, the. Sure, the person who chooses to switch doors has a theoretical two out of three chance of winning the car, but that doesn't mean everyone will produce results similar to that. There may be some rare, but somewhat significant variations from time to time, but on average, the results will be around 2/3.

The amount of kills also influences the final results. This particular user killed only 180 dust devils, compared to 139,545 that were killed in the average (180 kills is approximately 0.129% of 139,545). This will clearly lead to far less accurate results.

Unless we have significant reason to doubt the results, it would be best to assume that the editor was putting down accurate ones, per this policy. Smithing (talk | contribs) 00:07, March 4, 2012 (UTC)