Talk:Castaways

Cycles
My assumptions/predictions for the cycles are: Batch 1 bottles still need to be sorted, but I think we're pretty confident they're all 1, 2, and 3 day cycles at this point. — Heaven Sent (talk) 17:19, October 26, 2016 (UTC)
 * Message in a bottle (Agar Atoll) — First spawned 11 October and might be a 4 day cycle. I don't have enough confirmed spawns to feel comfortable with this guess. If it is a 4 day cycle though, the next spawns will occur on 27 Oct, 31 Oct, 4 Nov.
 * Message in a bottle (Cannonball Run) — First spawned 11 October and is very likely a 6 day cycle. It has been spotted on 11, 17, and 23 Oct. The next spawn should occur on 29 Oct, 4 Nov.
 * Message in a bottle (Eisetes Cretor) — First spawned on 12 October and is very likely a 7 day cycle. It has been spotted Every Wednesday so far, and I assume it will keep popping up then.
 * Message in a bottle (The Hamlet) — First spawned on 15 October nad is likely an 8 day cycle. I have only confirmed it spawning again on 23 Oct. If it's a 4 day cycle, the next spawn should occur on 27 Oct, but for 8 day cycles I expect 31 Oct, 8 Nov, 16 Nov.
 * Message in a bottle (Quis-land) — First spawned on 10 October? Confirmed dates so far have been 18 Oct, and 26 Oct as confirmed by Jmods. Next dates should be 3 Nov, 11 Nov, 19, Nov.


 * About Quis-land's bottle, Mod Orion tweeted me that it either spawned on the 16th or 17th not the 18th. 19:08, October 26, 2016 (UTC)
 * Also, I'm pretty sure the Cannonball Run is possibly every 3 days - I'm certain I got it atween 11 and 17 October. Just be careful ye dinnae exclude results tae fit yer theory 19:52, October 26, 2016 (UTC)
 * By all means! I want you to prove me wrong more than prove me right. — Heaven Sent (talk) 20:19, October 26, 2016 (UTC)
 * Wanted to add that Quis-land's bottle can be spotted today (26 October). Also in regards to the first batch, I found all of them on 9 October. For future reference: all dates above are in 2016. 20:33, October 26, 2016 (UTC)
 * Message in a bottle (Eisetes Cretor) was spotted today by IP 62.168.111.150's recent edit. I'm very confident it is a 7 day spawn cycle. — Heaven Sent (talk) 20:44, November 2, 2016 (UTC)

Cycles table
Cycles table (correct it please with new data - also all dates are in 2016):

20:55, October 26, 2016 (UTC)
 * I'm starting to make better predictions for most dates now. "Monkeys" works with 4 days, and I've managed to make accurate predictions off that is we assume the 12 October date was actually spied on 11 October isntead. Christmas Island works as 3 if we ignore 12 and 16 October for the time being. Springbreak still has me stumped for the time being, but I think it might have some odd math on it; something like . If that's correct I'd assume Springbreak to pop up on 5 Nov, 6 Nov, 8 Nov, 11 Nov, 15 Nov, 20 Nov, 21 Nov, 23 Nov, 26 Nov, 30 Nov. Something to keep our eyes out for, but it's probably not likely (only way I can make a 19 day cycle work(4+5+1+2+3+4)) — Heaven Sent (talk) 02:08, November 4, 2016 (UTC)

Of the 4 Nov bottles in the cycles table, I've been unable to find The Hamlet or Quis-Land. I'd question the accuracy of those two. I have found the remaining 4 Nov bottles though. Cuzicouldyay (talk) 10:05, November 4, 2016 (UTC)