Cycles
My assumptions/predictions for the cycles are:
- Message in a bottle (Agar Atoll) — First spawned 11 October and might be a 4 day cycle. I don't have enough confirmed spawns to feel comfortable with this guess. If it is a 4 day cycle though, the next spawns will occur on 27 Oct, 31 Oct, 4 Nov.
- Message in a bottle (Cannonball Run) — First spawned 11 October and is very likely a 6 day cycle. It has been spotted on 11, 17, and 23 Oct. The next spawn should occur on 29 Oct, 4 Nov.
- Message in a bottle (Eisetes Cretor) — First spawned on 12 October and is very likely a 7 day cycle. It has been spotted Every Wednesday so far, and I assume it will keep popping up then.
- Message in a bottle (The Hamlet) — First spawned on 15 October nad is likely an 8 day cycle. I have only confirmed it spawning again on 23 Oct. If it's a 4 day cycle, the next spawn should occur on 27 Oct, but for 8 day cycles I expect 31 Oct, 8 Nov, 16 Nov.
- Message in a bottle (Quis-land) —
First spawned on 10 October? Confirmed dates so far have been 18 Oct, and 26 Oct as confirmed by Jmods. Next dates should be 3 Nov, 11 Nov, 19, Nov.
Batch 1 bottles still need to be sorted, but I think we're pretty confident they're all 1, 2, and 3 day cycles at this point. — Heaven Sent (talk) 17:19, October 26, 2016 (UTC)
- About Quis-land's bottle, Mod Orion tweeted me that it either spawned on the 16th or 17th not the 18th. Salix of Prifddinas (Talk) 19:08, October 26, 2016 (UTC)
- Also, I'm pretty sure the Cannonball Run is possibly every 3 days - I'm certain I got it atween 11 and 17 October. Just be careful ye dinnae exclude results tae fit yer theory Template:Signatures/Ciphrius Kane 19:52, October 26, 2016 (UTC)
- By all means! I want you to prove me wrong more than prove me right. — Heaven Sent (talk) 20:19, October 26, 2016 (UTC)
- Also, I'm pretty sure the Cannonball Run is possibly every 3 days - I'm certain I got it atween 11 and 17 October. Just be careful ye dinnae exclude results tae fit yer theory Template:Signatures/Ciphrius Kane 19:52, October 26, 2016 (UTC)
- Wanted to add that Quis-land's bottle can be spotted today (26 October). Also in regards to the first batch, I found all of them on 9 October. For future reference: all dates above are in 2016. Salix of Prifddinas (Talk) 20:33, October 26, 2016 (UTC)
- Message in a bottle (Eisetes Cretor) was spotted today by IP 62.168.111.150's recent edit. I'm very confident it is a 7 day spawn cycle. — Heaven Sent (talk) 20:44, November 2, 2016 (UTC)
- Message in a bottle (Agar Atoll) spotted on Nov 11th, had other clan member with me. Appears to be instanced, I was able to see and pick it up, he did not see it.73.49.174.71Bladecom
- Fixed a link to the bottle and did the other clan member already find it once? If they have it in their inventory/bank, they won't find it there again, unless they destroy it. It doesn't seem the bottles are instanced though, everyone should be able to see the same ones with the exception I mention earlier (about having the bottle already). Salix of Prifddinas (Talk) 16:16, November 13, 2016 (UTC)
- I just got Quis-land's bottle today, 11/13/16 --User:Heavyoak/Signature 18:20, November 13, 2016 (UTC)
Cycles table
Cycles table (correct it please with new data, only dates found, also please check the date to make sure it's the date of the game (as in game time) - also all dates are in 2016).
Once you find the bottle, that bottle will be visible for you always unless you have it banked/in your inventory!
| Message in a bottle | Cycle of days | Spotted dates |
|---|---|---|
| Message in a bottle (Milky Bay) | Everyday | 8 Oct, 9 Oct, 10 Oct, etc |
| Message in a bottle (The Goon Docks) | Everyday? | 8 Oct, 9 Oct, 10 Oct, etc |
| Message in a bottle (Christmas Island) | 3? | 8 Sept, 8 Oct, 11 Oct, 12 Oct, 16 Oct, 17 Oct, 23 Oct, 26 Oct, 4 Nov, 7 Nov, 10 Nov, 13 Nov |
| Message in a bottle (The Island Which May or May Not Have Monkeys on It) | 4? | 9 Sept, 8 Oct, 12 Oct (11 Oct?), 27 Oct, 4 Nov, 8 Nov, 12 nov |
| Message in a bottle (Springbreak Island) | 2? | 8 Oct, 27 Oct, 31 Oct, 5 Nov, 6 Nov, 8 Nov, 10 Nov, 12 nov |
| Message in a bottle (Cannonball Run) | 6 | 11 Oct, 14? Oct, 17 Oct, 29 Oct, 4 Nov, 10 Nov |
| Message in a bottle (Eisetes Cretor) | 7 | 12 Oct, 19 Oct, 26 Oct, 2 Nov, 9 Nov |
| Message in a bottle (The Hamlet) | 4? | 15 Oct, 23 Oct, 27 Oct, 31 Oct, 4 Nov, 8 Nov |
| Message in a bottle (Quis-land) | 9? | 17 Oct, 26 Oct, 4 Nov, (5 Nov?), (7 Nov?), 13 Nov |
| Message in a bottle (Agar Atoll) | 4? | 11 Oct, 27 Oct, 31 Oct, 10 Nov, 11 Nov, 13 Nov |
Salix of Prifddinas (Talk) 20:55, October 26, 2016 (UTC)
- I'm starting to make better predictions for most dates now. "Monkeys" works with 4 days, and I've managed to make accurate predictions off that is we assume the 12 October date was actually spied on 11 October isntead. Christmas Island works as 3 if we ignore 12 and 16 October for the time being. Springbreak still has me stumped for the time being, but I think it might have some odd math on it; something like
Spawn on N day, where N=N+1, and if N>5 N==1. If that's correct I'd assume Springbreak to pop up on 5 Nov, 6 Nov, 8 Nov, 11 Nov, 15 Nov, 20 Nov, 21 Nov, 23 Nov, 26 Nov, 30 Nov. Something to keep our eyes out for, but it's probably not likely (only way I can make a 19 day cycle work(4+5+1+2+3+4)) — Heaven Sent (talk) 02:08, November 4, 2016 (UTC)
Of the 4 Nov bottles in the cycles table, I've been unable to find The Hamlet or Quis-Land. I'd question the accuracy of those two. I have found the remaining 4 Nov bottles though. Cuzicouldyay (talk) 10:05, November 4, 2016 (UTC)
- I took two of my clan members to find them myself today, so I will profess to its accuracy. Maybe check your bank for "Message in a bottle" or "Treasure map" items, in case you've picked one of them up and forgotten about it. If still you're unable to find them, dates might vary for different players (think Underground Pass puzzles) which could explain some of the seemingly erroneous data I've been unable to account for. — Heaven Sent (talk) 10:15, November 4, 2016 (UTC)
- I want to remind you all that once you find a bottle, it will be visible for you always unless you have it or the treasure map banked. Salix of Prifddinas (Talk) 10:53, November 4, 2016 (UTC)
- Also could not find The Hamlet (or Agar Atoll) on Nov 4--already had Quis-land and Cannonball. Did find Monkeys (last, so it wasn't that I had something in my bank). Gohn Jalt (talk) 20:42, November 4, 2016 (UTC)
As a follow-up, I can say that I have no Message in a bottle or Treasure map items in my bank. But! I just found the Quis-land bottle (5 Nov). So there's some data for you. No luck on The Hamlet today. 11:06, November 5, 2016 (UTC)
- Found Hamlet and Springbreak Island Today - 8th nov
Couldn't find The Hamlet on the 4th of Nov (per my other comment) but I did find it on the 8th of Nov. Still no Agar Atoll or Springbreak. Gohn Jalt (talk) 10:23, November 8, 2016 (UTC)
Found Quis-land & Eisetes Cretor on 9th November- Ermanzer0 (talk) 14:33, November 9, 2016 (UTC)
Also found Eisetes Cretor on the 9th of November Gohn Jalt (talk) 21:11, November 9, 2016 (UTC)
Found Cannonball Run on the 10th of November --Uncommonsensical (talk) 00:21, November 10, 2016 (UTC)
Found Agar Atoll on the 10th of November --Fateslyph (talk) 01:25, November 10, 2016 (UTC)
Found both Agar Atoll and Spring Break Island on the 10th of November -- Gohn Jalt (talk) 20:40, November 10, 2016 (UTC)
I did not find the "Message in a bottle (The Hamlet)" on November 12th. Verhaert3 01:58, November 12, 2016 (UTC)
Found Monkey bottle but not the hamlet bottle on november 12th Critzlock (talk) 05:21, November 12, 2016 (UTC)
did not find the hamlet bottle on 2nd island of the island of turtles 16:55, November 12, 2016 (UTC) (12 nov 16)
Found Quis-Island (Third Island of the Islands that look like Turtles) at reset, 00:01, November 13, 2016
found quis-land and agar atoll bottle. did not find cannonball rum ,eisetes cretor or hamlet bott.e today :( 13th November Critzlock (talk) 01:49, November 13, 2016 (UTC)
Only add dates you found the bottle to the table please. Rather odd that Hamlet didn't appear on 12 November. :S Salix of Prifddinas (Talk) 16:16, November 13, 2016 (UTC)
Sorry @salix, just wanted to make sure that hamlet oddity is noticed :P Also for my daily check,did not find Eisetes Cretor, Hamlet or Cannonball Rum bottles today Critzlock (talk) 03:06, November 14, 2016 (UTC)
- No problem, but that's what the messages below the table are for :P. Salix of Prifddinas (Talk) 08:59, November 14, 2016 (UTC)
I found Hamlet and Agar atoll in the last hour. I could not find Quis-land. Is it possible some of the bottles are on a set cycle, but that cycle is shifted for different players? 
Samberen 
05:47, November 14, 2016 (UTC)
- Also found Monkey and Eisetes scrolls. That messes the 7 day cycle for Eisetes. Did not find Christmas, Springbreak, or Cannonball.
Samberen 
06:05, November 14, 2016 (UTC)
- Just wanna confirm, you know that once you find the bottle, that the bottle will be visible for you always unless you have it banked/in your inventory, right? Salix of Prifddinas (Talk) 08:59, November 14, 2016 (UTC)
The Hamlet bottle is driving me up a wall, it's been the only one I've needed for about a week now. And I've been looking for it daily. Fairly certain it doesn't have a universally-shared spawn date. Unless it's even weirder and has multiple locations or something, but you'd think it'd have been spotted elsewhere by now. Ehh, ignore that bit, I'm tired. Cuzicouldyay (talk) 09:13, November 14, 2016 (UTC)
found Hamlet bottle on 2nd turtle island around today (11/14) at 10:50am (eastern) BUT when i told my friends about 2 hrs later, it wasn't there for them. —The preceding unsigned comment was added by Vichellee (talk) on 14 November 2016 at 18:42.
- 10:50am eastern converts to 15:50 Game Time (or 3:50pm if you must) so that and 2 hours later (17:50) would still be the same day Game Time wise. So I'd like to reiterate the warning I added above the table: Once you find the bottle, that bottle will be visible for you always unless you have it banked/in your inventory! So my question, did you find it already and destroyed the bottle? Because based on the other data on this talk page, that bottle shouldn't have appeared today, it should've appeared 2 days ago and will appear again in 2 days (if the 4 day cycle is correct). However there have been reports of it not appearing 2 days ago, perhaps it's bugged? Salix of Prifddinas (Talk) 23:08, November 14, 2016 (UTC)
Checked for Hamlet and Cannonball Run today, the only bottles I was still missing, and neither were present. --Jagex named me Able Tis (talk) 00:08, November 15, 2016 (UTC)